Borussia Dortmund vs Union Berlin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Borussia Dortmund v Union Berlin — Team-Based Signals
Borussia Dortmund vs Union Berlin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-2
HT 1-2
Union Berlin
AL1
2-1
HT 1-0
Union Berlin
AL1
2-0
HT 2-0
Borussia Dortmund
AL1
0-3
HT 0-2
Borussia Dortmund
AL1
Borussia Dortmund 6-0 Union Berlin — Actual Match Statistics
Borussia Dortmund swept aside Union Berlin 6-0. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Borussia Dortmund as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Borussia Dortmund had 64% of the ball to Union Berlin's 36%, shots finished 24-6, expected goals 4.77 to 0.27.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Borussia Dortmund had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Borussia Dortmund and 1.17 for Union Berlin.
What was the final score of Borussia Dortmund vs Union Berlin?
Borussia Dortmund 6-0 Union Berlin in the Germany - Bundesliga on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Borussia Dortmund vs Union Berlin?
Before kick-off our model rated a Borussia Dortmund win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Borussia Dortmund 55%, draw 24%, Union Berlin 22%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Borussia Dortmund), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.