Mönchengladbach 0-3 Augsburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 22 Feb 2025

Mönchengladbach
0-3 HT 0-0
Augsburg
📅22/02/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Mönchengladbach vs Augsburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.27
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
25%
3.38
6+ Goals
11%
12.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.27 — our 26% vs market 24.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.57
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.3
X/1
9%
4.55
X/2
8%
7.82
X/X
13%
4.86
2/1
8%
23.85
2/2
15%
5.93
2/X
8%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-6.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.6pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mönchengladbach v Augsburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mönchengladbach EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Augsburg EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.15/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.63
+20% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +11%
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
448 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 70%
30.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
19.1 Crosses 16.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3

Mönchengladbach vs Augsburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mönchengladbach
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Augsburg
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.72 xG 1.33
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
466 Passes 288
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
29 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.10.2024 Augsburg Augsburg 2-1 HT 1-0 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
21.01.2024 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 1-2 HT 1-0 Augsburg Augsburg AL1
19.08.2023 Augsburg Augsburg 4-4 HT 3-3 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
27.05.2023 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 2-0 HT 2-0 Augsburg Augsburg AL1
25.01.2023 Augsburg Augsburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
12.02.2022 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 3-2 HT 1-0 Augsburg Augsburg AL1

Mönchengladbach 0-3 Augsburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mönchengladbach
0-3
AWAY Augsburg
1.03 xG 1.49
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
449 Passes 460
87% Pass Accuracy 87%
20 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mönchengladbach vs Augsburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Augsburg swept aside Mönchengladbach 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Mönchengladbach at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Mönchengladbach had 49% of the ball to Augsburg's 51%, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 1.03 to 1.49.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Augsburg led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Mönchengladbach and 1.83 for Augsburg.

What was the final score of Mönchengladbach vs Augsburg?

Mönchengladbach 0-3 Augsburg in the Germany - Bundesliga on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mönchengladbach vs Augsburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mönchengladbach win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Mönchengladbach 43%, draw 28%, Augsburg 29%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Mönchengladbach), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mönchengladbach) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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