Holstein Kiel 0-2 Bayer Leverkusen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 22 Feb 2025

Holstein Kiel
0-2 HT 0-2
Bayer Leverkusen
📅22/02/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Holstein Kiel vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
9.57
Draw
22%
5.28
Away
60%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.43
Over 2.5
59%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.06
No
47%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.89
2-3 Goals
35%
1.93
4-5 Goals
30%
2.66
6+ Goals
14%
6.77
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
21.15
1/2
6%
22.55
1/X
6%
29.0
X/1
7%
23.85
X/2
20%
3.71
X/X
8%
8.89
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
35%
1.37
2/X
8%
24.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
8%
+9.8pp
22%
Draw
16%
+6.5pp
60%
Away Win
77%
-16.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
38%
+3.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
62%
-3.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
44%
+8.9pp
47%
BTTS No
56%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Holstein Kiel v Bayer Leverkusen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holstein Kiel EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen EU Bookmakers 81%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.05/1.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/0.73
+58% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +35%
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
245 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 549 · 86%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.7
12.2 Crosses 15.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.6

Holstein Kiel vs Bayer Leverkusen Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holstein Kiel
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.65 xG 2.08
26% Ball Possession 74%
8 Total Shots 23
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 12
208 Passes 732
74% Pass Accuracy 92%
12 Box Touches 54
5 Crosses 37
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.10.2024 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 2-2 HT 2-1 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel AL1

Holstein Kiel 0-2 Bayer Leverkusen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Holstein Kiel
0-2
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen
0.30 xG 1.85
38% Ball Possession 62%
4 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 11
238 Passes 423
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
7 Box Touches 40
10 Crosses 37
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Holstein Kiel vs Bayer Leverkusen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayer Leverkusen beat Holstein Kiel 2-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bayer Leverkusen as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Holstein Kiel had 38% of the ball to Bayer Leverkusen's 62%, shots finished 4-18, expected goals 0.30 to 1.85.

What was the final score of Holstein Kiel vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Holstein Kiel 0-2 Bayer Leverkusen in the Germany - Bundesliga on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holstein Kiel vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Holstein Kiel 17%, draw 22%, Bayer Leverkusen 60%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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