Wolfsburg 1-1 Bochum — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.29
Over 2.5
58%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.59
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
27%
2.74
6+ Goals
13%
7.37
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.02
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.9
X/1
13%
4.38
X/2
12%
10.3
X/X
12%
6.15
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
20.05
2/2
9%
7.53
2/X
9%
15.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.05 — our 10% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-9.4pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.8pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+6.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.7pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolfsburg EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Bochum EU Bookmakers 23%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -18%
1.77/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.96
-2% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -27%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
382 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 73%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
18.6 Crosses 18.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wolfsburg
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Bochum
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.77 xG 1.43
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
270 Passes 286
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2024 Bochum Bochum 1-3 HT 0-2 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
20.04.2024 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 1-0 HT 1-0 Bochum Bochum AL1
02.12.2023 Bochum Bochum 3-1 HT 2-1 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
22.04.2023 Bochum Bochum 1-5 HT 0-3 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
29.10.2022 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 4-0 HT 2-0 Bochum Bochum AL1
09.01.2022 Bochum Bochum 1-0 HT 0-0 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolfsburg
1-1
AWAY Bochum
1.73 xG 0.84
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
375 Passes 291
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Wolfsburg vs Bochum
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolfsburg and Bochum shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Wolfsburg at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Wolfsburg had 55% of the ball to Bochum's 45%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.73 to 0.84.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wolfsburg had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Wolfsburg and 1.00 for Bochum.

What was the final score of Wolfsburg vs Bochum?

Wolfsburg 1-1 Bochum in the Germany - Bundesliga on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolfsburg vs Bochum?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wolfsburg win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Wolfsburg 48%, draw 26%, Bochum 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wolfsburg), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wolfsburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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