Nottingham Forest 0-1 Liverpool — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 22 Feb 2026

📅22/02/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.32
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
52%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.15
Over
57%
1.69
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
59%
1.57
No
41%
2.24
Total Goals
0-1
21%
4.04
2-3
45%
1.82
4-5
26%
2.92
6+
8%
8.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.57
1/2
4%
21.4
1/X
5%
13.7
X/1
9%
7.93
X/2
18%
4.69
X/X
14%
5.4
2/1
2%
34.0
2/2
30%
2.48
2/X
5%
12.85
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.4 — our 4% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Nottingham Forest The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Liverpool The Market 54%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.00 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.94
1.64 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.38
Average Attack Strength Strong
Average Defense Strength Bad
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 436 · 83%
23 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33
21 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nottingham Forest
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Liverpool
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.93 xG 1.96
28% Ball Possession 72%
9 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
171 Passes 561
68% Pass Accuracy 87%
15 Box Touches 40
10 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.11.2025 Liverpool Liverpool 0-3 HT 0-1 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
14.01.2025 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 1-1 HT 1-0 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
14.09.2024 Liverpool Liverpool 0-1 HT 0-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
02.03.2024 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 0-1 HT 0-0 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
29.10.2023 Liverpool Liverpool 3-0 HT 2-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
22.10.2022 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 1-0 HT 0-0 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nottingham Forest
0 - 1
AWAY Liverpool
1.19 xG 1.73
47% Ball Possession 53%
18 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
348 Passes 412
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 18
30 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Liverpool squeezed past Nottingham Forest 1-0 on their travels. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

As we said in the preview, our model had Liverpool as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%) never looked like landing.

By the numbers, Nottingham Forest had 47% of the ball to Liverpool's 53%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 1.19 to 1.73.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nottingham Forest had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nottingham Forest and 0.83 for Liverpool.

Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool Result & Final Score

Nottingham Forest 0 - 1 Liverpool in the England - Premier League on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Nottingham Forest 24%, draw 24%, Liverpool 52%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Liverpool) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
22 Feb 2026
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