Tottenham vs Arsenal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Tottenham v Arsenal — Team-Based Signals
Tottenham vs Arsenal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Tottenham 1-4 Arsenal — Actual Match Statistics
Arsenal overpowered Tottenham 4-1 on the road. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Arsenal as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 52% for over 2.5, 49% on both teams scoring. The market went further still — the BTTS-no price closed at 1.72, about 58%.
By the numbers, Arsenal saw more of the ball, 60% to 40%, shots finished 6-20, expected goals 0.69 to 2.07.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arsenal led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Tottenham against 2.00 for Arsenal.
Tottenham vs Arsenal Result & Final Score
Tottenham 1 - 4 Arsenal in the England - Premier League on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Tottenham vs Arsenal Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Arsenal win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Tottenham 13%, draw 20%, Arsenal 67%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.