Luzern 4-2 Basel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 22 Feb 2026

Luzern
4 - 2 HT 1 - 1
Basel
📅22/02/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Switzerland - Super League – 2025/2026

Luzern vs Basel Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
33%
2.59
Over Pick
67%
1.5
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%
1.36
No
33%
2.87
Total Goals
0-1
15%
5.57
2-3
42%
2.0
4-5
32%
2.51
6+
11%
5.68
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.09
1/2
3%
24.35
1/X
5%
11.7
X/1
14%
5.81
X/2
12%
6.69
X/X
16%
5.87
2/1
3%
21.8
2/2
19%
3.83
2/X
5%
11.9
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Luzern v Basel — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Luzern The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Basel The Market 37%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.91 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.62
1.46 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.45
Average Attack Strength Strong
Weak Defense Strength Great
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 78%
25 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2

Luzern vs Basel Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luzern
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Basel
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.22 xG 1.82
44% Ball Possession 55%
18 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
286 Passes 387
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
27 Box Touches 31
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.12.2025 Luzern Luzern 1-2 HT 0-0 Basel Basel İSV
28.09.2025 Basel Basel 1-2 HT 0-1 Luzern Luzern İSV
24.05.2025 Basel Basel 4-0 HT 2-0 Luzern Luzern İSV
09.03.2025 Luzern Luzern 1-1 HT 0-1 Basel Basel İSV
06.02.2025 Basel Basel 2-1 HT 1-1 Luzern Luzern İSV
29.09.2024 Luzern Luzern 1-0 HT 0-0 Basel Basel İSV

Luzern 4-2 Basel — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Luzern
4 - 2
AWAY Basel
2.25 xG 2.16
44% Ball Possession 56%
23 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
300 Passes 407
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
25 Box Touches 30
24 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Luzern vs Basel
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Luzern beat Basel 4-2. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half. A 6-goal game — the defences never settled.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Luzern made the difference. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (67%) landed.

On the day, Basel saw more of the ball, 56% to 44%, shots finished 23-12, expected goals 2.25 to 2.16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Basel led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Luzern against 1.67 for Basel.

Luzern vs Basel Result & Final Score

Luzern 4 - 2 Basel in the Switzerland - Super League on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Luzern vs Basel Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Luzern win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Luzern 40%, draw 26%, Basel 34%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Luzern), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Luzern) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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