Crotone 3-1 Foggia Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 22 Feb 2026

📅22/02/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
62%
1.45
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
17%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.91
Over
49%
1.84
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.05
No
51%
1.69
Total Goals
0-1
30%
3.18
2-3
40%
1.73
4-5
19%
3.31
6+
11%
12.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
13%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Crotone The Market 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Foggia Calcio The Market 17%
Weak Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Bad Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.72 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.85
0.94 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.68
Average Attackvs comparable teams Average
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Weak
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
432 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crotone
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Foggia Calcio
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.10.2025 Crotone Crotone 1-0 HT 1-0 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTCK
11.10.2025 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 0-3 HT 0-2 Crotone Crotone İTC
14.04.2025 Crotone Crotone 3-2 HT 1-1 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTC
30.11.2024 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 1-1 HT 1-1 Crotone Crotone İTC
26.02.2024 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 2-1 HT 0-0 Crotone Crotone İTC
21.10.2023 Crotone Crotone 2-1 HT 1-1 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crotone
3-1
AWAY Foggia Calcio
69% Ball Possession 31%
10 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Crotone vs Foggia Calcio
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Crotone took care of Foggia Calcio 3-1. The 0-1 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Crotone as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 49% for over 2.5, 49% on both teams scoring. The market went further still — the BTTS-no price closed at 1.69, about 59%.

The match data tells the story: possession split 69% to 31% in Crotone's favour, shots finished 10-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crotone had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.83 a game for Crotone against 1.00 for Foggia Calcio.

Crotone vs Foggia Calcio Result & Final Score

Crotone 3-1 Foggia Calcio in the Italy - Serie C on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Crotone vs Foggia Calcio Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Crotone win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Crotone 62%, draw 21%, Foggia Calcio 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crotone) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Crotone) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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