Freiburg vs Mönchengladbach Prediction — Model Probabilities
Freiburg v Mönchengladbach — Team-Based Signals
Freiburg vs Mönchengladbach Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Freiburg 2-1 Mönchengladbach — Actual Match Statistics
Freiburg nicked a narrow win over Mönchengladbach 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Freiburg as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.
By the numbers, Freiburg had 37% of the ball to Mönchengladbach's 63%, shots finished 10-12.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Freiburg had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Freiburg and 0.83 for Mönchengladbach.
Freiburg vs Mönchengladbach Result & Final Score
Freiburg 2 - 1 Mönchengladbach in the Germany - Bundesliga on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Freiburg vs Mönchengladbach Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Freiburg win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Freiburg 47%, draw 28%, Mönchengladbach 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Freiburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.