Heidenheim 3-3 Stuttgart — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 22 Feb 2026

📅22/02/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.98
Draw
21%
3.95
Away
58%
1.65
Under/Over 2.5
Under
36%
2.31
Over Pick
64%
1.55
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.55
No
40%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1
17%
2-3
42%
4-5
30%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
2%
2/2
36%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Heidenheim The Market 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Stuttgart The Market 61%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
0.87 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.77
2.25 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.41
Bad Attack Strength Bad
Average Defense Strength Weak
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
266 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 469 · 85%
18 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33
18 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heidenheim
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Stuttgart
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.84 xG 2.31
33% Ball Possession 67%
9 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
220 Passes 563
70% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Box Touches 31
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2025 Stuttgart Stuttgart 1-0 HT 0-0 Heidenheim Heidenheim AL1
25.04.2025 Stuttgart Stuttgart 0-1 HT 0-0 Heidenheim Heidenheim AL1
15.12.2024 Heidenheim Heidenheim 1-3 HT 1-2 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
31.03.2024 Stuttgart Stuttgart 3-3 HT 1-0 Heidenheim Heidenheim AL1
05.11.2023 Heidenheim Heidenheim 2-0 HT 0-0 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
29.01.2020 Stuttgart Stuttgart 3-0 HT 1-0 Heidenheim Heidenheim AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Heidenheim
3 - 3
AWAY Stuttgart
2.13 xG 2.23
34% Ball Possession 66%
10 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 4
209 Passes 496
68% Pass Accuracy 82%
29 Box Touches 37
11 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Heidenheim vs Stuttgart
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

a 3-3 draw left Heidenheim and Stuttgart with a point apiece. Half-time: 2-2. A 6-goal game — the defences never settled.

File this under upsets: a 58% lean on Stuttgart went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

The match data tells the story: Stuttgart saw more of the ball, 66% to 34%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 2.13 to 2.23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stuttgart led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Heidenheim against 1.67 for Stuttgart.

Heidenheim vs Stuttgart Result & Final Score

Heidenheim 3 - 3 Stuttgart in the Germany - Bundesliga on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Heidenheim vs Stuttgart Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Stuttgart win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Heidenheim 21%, draw 21%, Stuttgart 58%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stuttgart) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stuttgart) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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