Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Newcastle Jets v Macarthur — Team-Based Signals
Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Newcastle Jets 1-0 Macarthur — Actual Match Statistics
Newcastle Jets edged past Macarthur 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Newcastle Jets as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (67%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Newcastle Jets had 47% of the ball to Macarthur's 53%, shots finished 13-25, expected goals 0.94 to 2.16 — on chances, Macarthur could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Macarthur led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Newcastle Jets and 2.50 for Macarthur.
What was the final score of Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur?
Newcastle Jets 1-0 Macarthur in the Australia - A-League on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur?
Before kick-off our model rated a Newcastle Jets win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Newcastle Jets 48%, draw 21%, Macarthur 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newcastle Jets) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.