Central Coast Mariners 3-2 Western Sydney Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 22 Feb 2026

Central Coast Mariners
3-2 HT 0-1
Western Sydney Wanderers
📅22/02/2026 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Australia - A-League – 2025/2026

Central Coast Mariners vs Western Sydney Wanderers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.87
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
54%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.15
Over 2.5
58%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
33%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
22%
+3.9pp
20%
Draw
23%
-3.2pp
54%
Away Win
54%
-0.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
43%
-1.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
57%
+1.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.2pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Central Coast Mariners v Western Sydney Wanderers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Central Coast Mariners EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Western Sydney Wanderers EU Bookmakers 58%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.23/1.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/1.17
-13% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -19%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
307 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 83%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.3
16.1 Crosses 22.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0

Central Coast Mariners vs Western Sydney Wanderers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Central Coast Mariners
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Western Sydney Wanderers
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.57 xG 1.69
49% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
338 Passes 364
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.11.2025 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 3-2 HT 3-2 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
22.02.2025 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 0-4 HT 0-3 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
17.01.2025 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 1-3 HT 0-1 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
18.02.2024 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 1-0 HT 0-0 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
06.01.2024 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-1 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
04.03.2023 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 2-0 HT 1-0 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS

Central Coast Mariners 3-2 Western Sydney Wanderers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Central Coast Mariners
3-2
AWAY Western Sydney Wanderers
0.97 xG 2.55
32% Ball Possession 68%
8 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 3
230 Passes 565
78% Pass Accuracy 90%
17 Box Touches 32
8 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Central Coast Mariners vs Western Sydney Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central Coast Mariners squeezed past Western Sydney Wanderers 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Western Sydney Wanderers at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Central Coast Mariners had 32% of the ball to Western Sydney Wanderers's 68%, shots finished 8-20, expected goals 0.97 to 2.55 — the balance of chances actually favoured Western Sydney Wanderers.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Central Coast Mariners and 1.67 for Western Sydney Wanderers.

What was the final score of Central Coast Mariners vs Western Sydney Wanderers?

Central Coast Mariners 3-2 Western Sydney Wanderers in the Australia - A-League on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Central Coast Mariners vs Western Sydney Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Western Sydney Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Central Coast Mariners 26%, draw 20%, Western Sydney Wanderers 54%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Western Sydney Wanderers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Western Sydney Wanderers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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