La Equidad 3-2 Millonarios — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 22 Feb 2026

📅22/02/2026 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.6pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.1pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.3pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Equidad EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Millonarios EU Bookmakers 40%
-6% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
0.91/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.03
-23% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
290 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 78%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
16.2 Crosses 13.2
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Equidad
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Millonarios
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.75 xG 1.20
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
226 Passes 359
70% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Box Touches 18
9 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 2
24.07.2025 La Equidad La Equidad 1-0 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
09.02.2025 Millonarios Millonarios 2-1 HT 1-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
16.09.2024 La Equidad La Equidad 1-3 HT 0-2 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
03.03.2024 Millonarios Millonarios 1-2 HT 1-1 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
09.11.2023 La Equidad La Equidad 2-1 HT 0-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
02.10.2022 La Equidad La Equidad 1-0 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Equidad
3-2
AWAY Millonarios
1.09 xG 1.61
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
279 Passes 285
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
8 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH La Equidad vs Millonarios
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Equidad nicked a narrow win over Millonarios 3-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 35% — and on the day La Equidad made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, La Equidad had 51% of the ball to Millonarios's 49%, shots finished 13-19, expected goals 1.09 to 1.61 — the balance of chances actually favoured Millonarios.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, La Equidad had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for La Equidad and 1.17 for Millonarios.

What was the final score of La Equidad vs Millonarios?

La Equidad 3-2 Millonarios in the Colombia - Primera on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Equidad vs Millonarios?

Before kick-off our model rated a La Equidad win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split La Equidad 35%, draw 30%, Millonarios 35%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KOL More Colombia - Primera
22 Feb 2026
00:10 Atletico Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Cali Analysis →
02:20 Atletico Nacional vs Alianza Petrolera Analysis →