Atletico Nacional vs Alianza Petrolera Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atletico Nacional v Alianza Petrolera — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Nacional vs Alianza Petrolera Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Atletico Nacional 3-0 Alianza Petrolera — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Nacional ran out comfortable winners over Alianza Petrolera 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atletico Nacional as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Atletico Nacional had 48% of the ball to Alianza Petrolera's 52%, shots finished 13-17.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Nacional had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Atletico Nacional and 1.00 for Alianza Petrolera.
What was the final score of Atletico Nacional vs Alianza Petrolera?
Atletico Nacional 3-0 Alianza Petrolera in the Colombia - Primera on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atletico Nacional vs Alianza Petrolera?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Atletico Nacional 69%, draw 19%, Alianza Petrolera 12%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Nacional), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.