Atletico Nacional 3-0 Alianza Petrolera — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Colombia - Primera, 22 Feb 2026

📅22/02/2026 · 🕒02:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✓ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 14:11
Match Result
HomeVIEW
75%
1.33
Draw
17%
4.5
Away
8%
7.88
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
1.98
Over
54%
1.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.08
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
46%
4-5
24%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
49%
1/2
1%
1/X
3%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Atletico Nacional The Market 75%
Signal
AWAY Alianza Petrolera The Market 13%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.40 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.56
0.80 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.04
Strong Attack Strength Bad
Weak Defense Strength Average
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
406 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 78%
25 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10
19 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Nacional
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Alianza Petrolera
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.14 xG 1.01
57% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
360 Passes 243
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 12
14 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
08.08.2025 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 3-0 HT 1-0 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
24.02.2025 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 3-2 HT 2-1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
20.09.2024 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 2-1 HT 1-1 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOLK
17.09.2024 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 1-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOLK
18.07.2024 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 0-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
22.01.2024 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 3-1 HT 0-1 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Nacional
3 - 0
AWAY Alianza Petrolera
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
278 Passes 284
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
REVIEW Atletico Nacional vs Alianza Petrolera
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Atletico Nacional ran out comfortable winners over Alianza Petrolera 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Atletico Nacional as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — no to both teams scoring (55%) came home.

Under the surface, Alianza Petrolera saw more of the ball, 52% to 48%, shots finished 13-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Nacional had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.17 a game for Atletico Nacional against 1.00 for Alianza Petrolera.

Atletico Nacional vs Alianza Petrolera Result & Final Score

Atletico Nacional 3 - 0 Alianza Petrolera in the Colombia - Primera on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Atletico Nacional vs Alianza Petrolera Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Atletico Nacional 75%, draw 17%, Alianza Petrolera 8%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Nacional), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Nacional) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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