Deportivo Saprissa 2-1 Alajuelense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 22 Feb 2026

📅22/02/2026 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
27%
2.88
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.59
Over 2.5
50%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.9
No
46%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.1pp
27%
Draw
31%
-4.2pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+5.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
59%
-9.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
41%
+9.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.6pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Saprissa EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 31%
+7% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +11%
1.90/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.36
+43% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
266 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Saprissa
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Alajuelense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2025 Alajuelense Alajuelense 3-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
18.12.2025 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 2-2 HT 1-2 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
20.10.2025 Alajuelense Alajuelense 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
31.08.2025 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 0-1 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
22.05.2025 Alajuelense Alajuelense 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
19.05.2025 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 3-3 HT 2-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
POST-MATCH Deportivo Saprissa vs Alajuelense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Saprissa edged past Alajuelense 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Deportivo Saprissa as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alajuelense led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportivo Saprissa and 2.00 for Alajuelense.

What was the final score of Deportivo Saprissa vs Alajuelense?

Deportivo Saprissa 2-1 Alajuelense in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Saprissa vs Alajuelense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Saprissa win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Saprissa 41%, draw 27%, Alajuelense 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) ✓ BTTS Yes
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KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
22 Feb 2026
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