Hegelmann Litauen 0-2 Banga Gargzdai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 22 Feb 2026

📅22/02/2026 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.5pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.7pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.2pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hegelmann Litauen EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Banga Gargzdai EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.50/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.24
+14% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
319 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hegelmann Litauen
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Banga Gargzdai
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
05.10.2025 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 0-0 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
13.08.2025 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 0-1 HT 0-1 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
31.05.2025 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 2-0 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
01.03.2025 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 2-0 HT 1-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
09.11.2024 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 1-1 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
16.08.2024 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 3-0 HT 1-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
POST-MATCH Hegelmann Litauen vs Banga Gargzdai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Banga Gargzdai got the better of Hegelmann Litauen 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Hegelmann Litauen at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hegelmann Litauen had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Hegelmann Litauen and 0.50 for Banga Gargzdai.

What was the final score of Hegelmann Litauen vs Banga Gargzdai?

Hegelmann Litauen 0-2 Banga Gargzdai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hegelmann Litauen vs Banga Gargzdai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hegelmann Litauen win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hegelmann Litauen 43%, draw 25%, Banga Gargzdai 32%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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