Korona Kielce vs Lech Poznan Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Korona Kielce v Lech Poznan — Team-Based Signals
Korona Kielce vs Lech Poznan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Lech Poznan
POL
0-3
HT 0-1
Lech Poznan
POL
3-2
HT 1-0
Korona Kielce
POL
Korona Kielce 1-2 Lech Poznan — Actual Match Statistics
Lech Poznan nicked a narrow win over Korona Kielce 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 40%) promised a tight game; Lech Poznan found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Korona Kielce had 42% of the ball to Lech Poznan's 58%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 0.30 to 1.59 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Lech Poznan's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lech Poznan led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Korona Kielce and 2.17 for Lech Poznan.
What was the final score of Korona Kielce vs Lech Poznan?
Korona Kielce 1-2 Lech Poznan in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Korona Kielce vs Lech Poznan?
Before kick-off our model rated an Lech Poznan win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Korona Kielce 33%, draw 27%, Lech Poznan 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lech Poznan), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.