Jagiellonia Bialystok 1-1 Radomiak Radom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 22 Feb 2026

📅22/02/2026 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
23%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.18
Over 2.5
60%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.56
No
37%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.06
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
27%
2.81
6+ Goals
13%
8.31
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.56
1/2
7%
32.0
1/X
6%
12.55
X/1
14%
4.82
X/2
6%
7.75
X/X
9%
5.39
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
21.4
2/2
11%
5.32
2/X
10%
13.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.4 — our 12% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
49%
+3.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.2pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-3.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
42%
-2.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
58%
+2.3pp
63%
BTTS Yes
60%
+3.3pp
37%
BTTS No
40%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jagiellonia Bialystok EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Radomiak Radom EU Bookmakers 30%
+6% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +9%
1.98/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.49
+49% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
374 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 78%
32.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
22.0 Crosses 17.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jagiellonia Bialystok
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Radomiak Radom
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.68 xG 1.43
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
354 Passes 254
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.08.2025 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 1-2 HT 1-1 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
02.02.2025 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 5-0 HT 5-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
27.07.2024 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 2-3 HT 0-2 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
16.03.2024 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 0-2 HT 0-1 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
17.09.2023 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 3-2 HT 2-2 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
20.02.2023 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 0-0 HT 0-0 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jagiellonia Bialystok
1-1
AWAY Radomiak Radom
62% Ball Possession 38%
23 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Radomiak Radom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jagiellonia Bialystok and Radomiak Radom couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Jagiellonia Bialystok at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (63%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Jagiellonia Bialystok had 62% of the ball to Radomiak Radom's 38%, shots finished 23-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jagiellonia Bialystok had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Jagiellonia Bialystok and 0.83 for Radomiak Radom.

What was the final score of Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Radomiak Radom?

Jagiellonia Bialystok 1-1 Radomiak Radom in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Radomiak Radom?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jagiellonia Bialystok win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Jagiellonia Bialystok 52%, draw 25%, Radomiak Radom 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Jagiellonia Bialystok), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jagiellonia Bialystok) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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