Chippenham Town 1-0 Weymouth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
2.99
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.5
6+ Goals
10%
14.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.99 — our 29% vs market 26.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-1.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.2pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chippenham Town EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Weymouth EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
1.45/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.20
-3% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chippenham Town
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Weymouth
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.08.2024 Weymouth Weymouth 0-2 HT 0-1 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
16.12.2023 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Weymouth Weymouth İCON
23.09.2023 Weymouth Weymouth 1-1 HT 0-1 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
21.03.2023 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 3-2 HT 1-1 Weymouth Weymouth İCON
07.03.2023 Weymouth Weymouth 0-1 HT 0-0 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chippenham Town
1-0
AWAY Weymouth
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chippenham Town vs Weymouth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chippenham Town squeezed past Weymouth 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chippenham Town as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Chippenham Town had 50% of the ball to Weymouth's 50%, shots finished 7-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Chippenham Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Chippenham Town and 0.80 for Weymouth.

What was the final score of Chippenham Town vs Weymouth?

Chippenham Town 1-0 Weymouth in the England - Conference on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chippenham Town vs Weymouth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chippenham Town win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Chippenham Town 43%, draw 26%, Weymouth 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chippenham Town), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chippenham Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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