Kidderminster Harriers 4-1 Needham Market — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.3
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
22%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.52
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.09
6+ Goals
8%
10.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.52 — our 28% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
72%
-17.0pp
23%
Draw
17%
+5.4pp
22%
Away Win
10%
+11.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.4pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kidderminster Harriers EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Needham Market EU Bookmakers 14%
-19% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +9%
1.64/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.82
-17% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +4%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
365 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kidderminster Harriers
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Needham Market
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.10.2024 Needham Market Needham Market 0-3 HT 0-2 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kidderminster Harriers
4-1
AWAY Needham Market
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kidderminster Harriers vs Needham Market
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kidderminster Harriers cruised past Needham Market 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kidderminster Harriers as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kidderminster Harriers had 60% of the ball to Needham Market's 40%, shots finished 13-7.

What was the final score of Kidderminster Harriers vs Needham Market?

Kidderminster Harriers 4-1 Needham Market in the England - Conference on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kidderminster Harriers vs Needham Market?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kidderminster Harriers win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Kidderminster Harriers 55%, draw 23%, Needham Market 22%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kidderminster Harriers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kidderminster Harriers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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