22/03/2025
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-0
Oxford City vs Warrington Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.07
— our 29% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 55% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH
Home Win
Under 2.5
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
49%
30%
Draw
26%
32%
Away Win
25%
55%
Under 2.5
50%
45%
Over 2.5
50%
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
53%
BTTS No
47%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Oxford City v Warrington Town — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Oxford City
EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY
Warrington Town
EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% /
-6%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+4% /
-10%
2.01/1.30
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.54/1.55
+26%
/
-21%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+35%
/
-5%
54%
Ball Possession
46%
11
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
4
287 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
273 · 72%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.9
Yellow Cards
2.6
Oxford City vs Warrington Town Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Oxford City
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Warrington Town
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
45%
Ball Possession
55%
11
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
4
3
Corners
7
2
Yellow Cards
1
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Oxford City vs Warrington Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Oxford City swept aside Warrington Town 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Oxford City made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Oxford City vs Warrington Town?
Oxford City 4-0 Warrington Town in the England - Conference on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Oxford City vs Warrington Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Oxford City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Oxford City 38%, draw 30%, Warrington Town 32%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oxford City), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Oxford City)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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İCON
More England - Conference
22 Mar 2025