Torquay United 1-0 Bath City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.82
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
29%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.47
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
4.26
6+ Goals
9%
22.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
51%
-10.8pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.9pp
29%
Away Win
22%
+7.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.8pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torquay United EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Bath City EU Bookmakers 25%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
1.63/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.48
+1% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torquay United
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Bath City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.08.2024 Bath City Bath City 1-2 HT 0-1 Torquay United Torquay United İCON
04.11.2023 Torquay United Torquay United 1-0 HT 0-0 Bath City Bath City İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torquay United
1-0
AWAY Bath City
59% Ball Possession 41%
6 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Torquay United vs Bath City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torquay United nicked a narrow win over Bath City 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 29%) promised a tight game; Torquay United found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Torquay United had 59% of the ball to Bath City's 41%, shots finished 6-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Torquay United had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Torquay United and 0.50 for Bath City.

What was the final score of Torquay United vs Bath City?

Torquay United 1-0 Bath City in the England - Conference on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torquay United vs Bath City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torquay United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Torquay United 40%, draw 31%, Bath City 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torquay United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Torquay United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
22 Mar 2025
00:00 Hemel Hempstead Town vs Aveley Analysis →
18:00 Slough Town vs Enfield Town Analysis →
18:00 Welling United vs Worthing Analysis →
18:00 Hampton & Richmond vs Maidstone United Analysis →
18:00 Truro City vs Salisbury Analysis →
18:00 Weston-super-Mare vs Chesham United Analysis →