Hungerford Town 0-1 Winchester City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.61
Draw
34%
4.08
Away
17%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.29
Over 2.5
48%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.63
No
42%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
58%
-8.9pp
34%
Draw
21%
+12.9pp
17%
Away Win
21%
-4.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
40%
+12.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
60%
-12.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
57%
+0.7pp
42%
BTTS No
43%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hungerford Town EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Winchester City EU Bookmakers 24%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +2%
1.76/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.56
-16% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +14%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
379 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hungerford Town
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Winchester City
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
12.10.2024 Winchester City Winchester City 2-2 HT 1-2 Hungerford Town Hungerford Town İNGNLP
17.09.2024 Hungerford Town Hungerford Town 0-1 Winchester City Winchester City FAK
14.09.2024 Winchester City Winchester City 1-1 HT 1-1 Hungerford Town Hungerford Town FAK
06.04.2024 Winchester City Winchester City 1-0 Hungerford Town Hungerford Town İNGNLP
14.11.2023 Hungerford Town Hungerford Town 2-2 HT 1-0 Winchester City Winchester City İNGNLP
07.10.2023 Winchester City Winchester City 3-5 Hungerford Town Hungerford Town FAK
POST-MATCH Hungerford Town vs Winchester City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Winchester City squeezed past Hungerford Town 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Hungerford Town at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Winchester City led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Hungerford Town and 1.67 for Winchester City.

What was the final score of Hungerford Town vs Winchester City?

Hungerford Town 0-1 Winchester City in the England - Non League Premier on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hungerford Town vs Winchester City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hungerford Town win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Hungerford Town 49%, draw 34%, Winchester City 17%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hungerford Town), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hungerford Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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