Arezzo 1-0 Milan II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.76
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.39
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
17%
4.44
6+ Goals
10%
24.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
52%
-9.7pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.5pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.6pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arezzo EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Milan II EU Bookmakers 25%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.29/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/0.90
-18% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +49%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
268 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arezzo
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Milan II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
10.11.2024 Milan II Milan II 2-2 HT 2-1 Arezzo Arezzo İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arezzo
1-0
AWAY Milan II
49% Ball Possession 51%
4 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Arezzo vs Milan II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arezzo nicked a narrow win over Milan II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Arezzo as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Arezzo had 49% of the ball to Milan II's 51%, shots finished 4-6.

What was the final score of Arezzo vs Milan II?

Arezzo 1-0 Milan II in the Italy - Serie C on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arezzo vs Milan II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arezzo win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Arezzo 43%, draw 31%, Milan II 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arezzo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arezzo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
22 Mar 2025
17:00 GIANA Erminio vs Triestina Analysis →
17:00 Campobasso vs Athletic Carpi Analysis →
17:00 Sassari Torres vs Rimini Analysis →
17:00 Vis Pesaro vs Pianese Analysis →
17:00 Sorrento Calcio vs US Latina Analysis →
17:00 Cavese vs Trapani 1905 Analysis →