Legnago Salus 1-1 Lucchese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
40%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.5
2-3 Goals
43%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
4.22
6+ Goals
10%
21.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
35%
-4.2pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.3pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+4.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.6pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Legnago Salus EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Lucchese EU Bookmakers 40%
-7% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
1.18/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/0.78
+2% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +41%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
325 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Legnago Salus
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Lucchese
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
09.11.2024 Lucchese Lucchese 1-1 HT 0-0 Legnago Salus Legnago Salus İTC
21.08.2021 Legnago Salus Legnago Salus 3-0 HT 0-0 Lucchese Lucchese İTCK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Legnago Salus
1-1
AWAY Lucchese
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Legnago Salus vs Lucchese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Legnago Salus and Lucchese couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 29% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Legnago Salus had 55% of the ball to Lucchese's 45%, shots finished 12-21.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Legnago Salus had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Legnago Salus and 0.50 for Lucchese.

What was the final score of Legnago Salus vs Lucchese?

Legnago Salus 1-1 Lucchese in the Italy - Serie C on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Legnago Salus vs Lucchese?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lucchese win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Legnago Salus 31%, draw 29%, Lucchese 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lucchese), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lucchese) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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