Karadağ vs Cebelitarık Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Karadağ v Cebelitarık — Team-Based Signals
Karadağ vs Cebelitarık Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-2
Karadağ
DKE
4-1
HT 2-1
Cebelitarık
DKE
Karadağ 3-1 Cebelitarık — Actual Match Statistics
Karadağ saw off Cebelitarık 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Karadağ as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Karadağ had 66% of the ball to Cebelitarık's 34%, shots finished 25-7, expected goals 3.23 to 1.25.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Karadağ had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Karadağ and 0.50 for Cebelitarık.
What was the final score of Karadağ vs Cebelitarık?
Karadağ 3-1 Cebelitarık in the World Cup Qualifiers on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Karadağ vs Cebelitarık?
Before kick-off our model rated a Karadağ win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Karadağ 70%, draw 18%, Cebelitarık 12%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karadağ), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.