Fiorentina vs Inter Prediction — Model Probabilities
Fiorentina v Inter — Team-Based Signals
Fiorentina vs Inter Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Fiorentina 1-1 Inter — Actual Match Statistics
a 1-1 draw left Fiorentina and Inter with a point apiece. Half-time: 0-1.
File this under upsets: a 61% lean on Inter went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 54% and both teams to score at 53%.
The match data tells the story: Inter saw more of the ball, 60% to 40%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 2.31 to 1.15.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter led the recent series with 5 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.50 a game for Fiorentina against 2.00 for Inter.
Fiorentina vs Inter Result & Final Score
Fiorentina 1-1 Inter in the Italy - Serie A on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Fiorentina vs Inter Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Inter win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina 20%, draw 19%, Inter 61%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Inter), Over 2.5 went the other way.