Fiorentina 1-1 Inter — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.48
Draw
19%
3.8
Away Pick
61%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.07
Over
54%
1.72
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.72
No
47%
2.0
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.8
2-3
38%
1.8
4-5
25%
3.03
6+
11%
9.83
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.8 — our 26% vs market 20.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
7.93
1/2
15%
21.4
1/X
6%
15.95
X/1
6%
10.2
X/2
14%
4.2
X/X
8%
5.61
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
31%
2.03
2/X
6%
14.3
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fiorentina The Market 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter The Market 62%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Great
1.23 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 2.12
1.66 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 0.82
Great Attackvs comparable teams Strong
Strong Defensevs comparable teams Strong
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 83%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.4
19.1 Crosses 20.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fiorentina
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Inter
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.10 xG 2.30
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
338 Passes 383
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 29
17 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2025 Inter Inter 3-0 HT 0-0 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA
10.02.2025 Inter Inter 2-1 HT 1-1 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA
28.01.2024 Fiorentina Fiorentina 0-1 HT 0-1 Inter Inter İTA
03.09.2023 Inter Inter 4-0 HT 1-0 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA
24.05.2023 Fiorentina Fiorentina 1-2 HT 1-2 Inter Inter İTK
01.04.2023 Inter Inter 0-1 HT 0-0 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fiorentina
1-1
AWAY Inter
2.31 xG 1.15
40% Ball Possession 60%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
320 Passes 497
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
21 Box Touches 30
17 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Fiorentina vs Inter
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

a 1-1 draw left Fiorentina and Inter with a point apiece. Half-time: 0-1.

File this under upsets: a 61% lean on Inter went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 54% and both teams to score at 53%.

The match data tells the story: Inter saw more of the ball, 60% to 40%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 2.31 to 1.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter led the recent series with 5 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.50 a game for Fiorentina against 2.00 for Inter.

Fiorentina vs Inter Result & Final Score

Fiorentina 1-1 Inter in the Italy - Serie A on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Fiorentina vs Inter Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Inter win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina 20%, draw 19%, Inter 61%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Inter), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Inter) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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