Roma vs Lecce Prediction — Model Probabilities
Roma v Lecce — Team-Based Signals
Roma vs Lecce Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Roma 1-0 Lecce — Actual Match Statistics
Roma edged past Lecce 1-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
As we said in the preview, our model had Roma as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 49% and both teams to score at 48%. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-no price stood at 1.57, roughly 64%.
By the numbers, Roma had 67% of the ball to Lecce's 33%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 0.83 to 0.96.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roma had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Roma and 0.50 for Lecce.
Roma vs Lecce Result & Final Score
Roma 1-0 Lecce in the Italy - Serie A on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Roma vs Lecce Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Roma win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Roma 64%, draw 23%, Lecce 13%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roma), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.