Atalanta 1-0 Hellas Verona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
65%
1.37
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
15%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
1.9
Over
55%
1.85
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.16
No
48%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.16
2-3
39%
1.74
4-5
24%
3.45
6+
13%
13.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.68
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
5%
19.4
X/1
25%
3.62
X/2
4%
14.75
X/X
10%
5.9
2/1
12%
24.35
2/2
7%
13.55
2/X
4%
22.65
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atalanta The Market 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Hellas Verona The Market 15%
Weak Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Bad Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
2.02 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.94
0.95 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.56
Average Attackvs comparable teams Average
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Average
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
433 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 73%
35.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
22.7 Crosses 13.9
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atalanta
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Hellas Verona
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.73 xG 0.98
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
460 Passes 263
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.12.2025 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 3-1 HT 2-0 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
08.02.2025 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 0-5 HT 0-4 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
26.10.2024 Atalanta Atalanta 6-1 HT 5-1 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
15.04.2024 Atalanta Atalanta 2-2 HT 2-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
27.09.2023 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 0-1 HT 0-1 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
20.05.2023 Atalanta Atalanta 3-1 HT 1-1 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atalanta
1-0
AWAY Hellas Verona
1.04 xG 0.97
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
445 Passes 276
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
30 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Atalanta vs Hellas Verona
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Atalanta found just enough to beat Hellas Verona 1-0.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Atalanta as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (55%) never looked like landing.

On the day, Atalanta had 60% of the ball to Hellas Verona's 40%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.04 to 0.97.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atalanta had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Atalanta and 1.17 for Hellas Verona.

Atalanta vs Hellas Verona Result & Final Score

Atalanta 1-0 Hellas Verona in the Italy - Serie A on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Atalanta vs Hellas Verona Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Atalanta win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Atalanta 65%, draw 20%, Hellas Verona 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atalanta) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atalanta) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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