Audace Cerignola 1-0 SSC Giugliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.8
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
2.98
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
3.51
6+ Goals
10%
14.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 29% vs market 26.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
52%
+1.5pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.0pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.7pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Audace Cerignola EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY SSC Giugliano EU Bookmakers 26%
-2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
1.73/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.37
+21% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Audace Cerignola
4W-2D-0L
AWAY SSC Giugliano
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.11.2025 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano 0-1 HT 0-0 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
17.01.2025 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano 1-3 HT 1-1 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
15.09.2024 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 3-1 HT 0-1 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTC
07.05.2024 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 1-1 HT 1-1 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTC
23.12.2023 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano 0-1 HT 0-1 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
07.01.2023 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano 1-1 HT 0-0 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Audace Cerignola
1-0
AWAY SSC Giugliano
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Audace Cerignola vs SSC Giugliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Audace Cerignola squeezed past SSC Giugliano 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Audace Cerignola as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Audace Cerignola had 48% of the ball to SSC Giugliano's 52%, shots finished 13-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Audace Cerignola had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Audace Cerignola and 0.67 for SSC Giugliano.

What was the final score of Audace Cerignola vs SSC Giugliano?

Audace Cerignola 1-0 SSC Giugliano in the Italy - Serie C on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Audace Cerignola vs SSC Giugliano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Audace Cerignola win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Audace Cerignola 53%, draw 23%, SSC Giugliano 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Audace Cerignola), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Audace Cerignola) ✓ Under 2.5
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