Novara 3-0 Alcione — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.22
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
4.84
6+ Goals
9%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+1.0pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-3.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+3.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.4pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novara EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Alcione EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +7%
1.28/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.82
-3% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +53%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
320 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Novara
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Alcione
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.11.2025 Alcione 0-1 HT 0-0 Novara Novara İTC
09.02.2025 Novara Novara 1-1 HT 0-1 Alcione İTC
28.09.2024 Alcione 2-1 HT 1-0 Novara Novara İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novara
3-0
AWAY Alcione
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Novara vs Alcione
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novara cruised past Alcione 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Novara as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Novara had 62% of the ball to Alcione's 38%, shots finished 14-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Novara and 1.00 for Alcione.

What was the final score of Novara vs Alcione?

Novara 3-0 Alcione in the Italy - Serie C on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novara vs Alcione?

Before kick-off our model rated a Novara win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Novara 46%, draw 28%, Alcione 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Novara), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Novara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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