Rapid Wien 4-2 LASK Linz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
40%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
1.82
Over Pick
57%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.17
2-3
39%
1.74
4-5
25%
3.45
6+
12%
13.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.98
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X
4%
12.0
X/1
12%
6.07
X/2
19%
5.75
X/X
14%
4.29
2/1
9%
29.5
2/2
14%
3.65
2/X
6%
11.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 29.5 — our 9% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+1.0pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.5pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+3.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
51%
-8.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
49%
+8.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.3pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rapid Wien EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY LASK Linz EU Bookmakers 40%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -6%
1.30/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.36
-27% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
303 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 70%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
19.8 Crosses 17.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rapid Wien
1W-1D-4L
AWAY LASK Linz
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.32 xG 1.76
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
377 Passes 260
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
26 Box Touches 19
26 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2025 LASK Linz LASK Linz 3-0 HT 1-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
19.10.2025 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 0-2 HT 0-2 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
01.06.2025 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 3-0 HT 1-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
29.05.2025 LASK Linz LASK Linz 3-1 HT 1-1 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
23.02.2025 LASK Linz LASK Linz 2-1 HT 1-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
28.09.2024 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 1-1 HT 1-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rapid Wien
4-2
AWAY LASK Linz
1.97 xG 1.46
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 1
428 Passes 399
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Rapid Wien vs LASK Linz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rapid Wien got the better of LASK Linz 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 24% / 40% — and on the day Rapid Wien made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Rapid Wien had 52% of the ball to LASK Linz's 48%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 1.97 to 1.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, LASK Linz led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rapid Wien and 1.83 for LASK Linz.

What was the final score of Rapid Wien vs LASK Linz?

Rapid Wien 4-2 LASK Linz in the Austria - Bundesliga on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rapid Wien vs LASK Linz?

Before kick-off our model rated an LASK Linz win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Rapid Wien 36%, draw 24%, LASK Linz 40%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (LASK Linz) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (LASK Linz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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