LASK Linz 3-0 Rapid Wien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.51
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.31
6+ Goals
11%
12.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.99
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
32.5
1/X
6%
12.9
X/1
18%
5.07
X/2
15%
6.95
X/X
8%
4.92
2/1
6%
24.85
2/2
14%
4.88
2/X
8%
13.5
Value flag · 1/2 at 32.5 — our 7% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.1pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.0pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+6.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.2pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LASK Linz EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Rapid Wien EU Bookmakers 33%
-10% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -3%
1.59/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.87
+1% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -30%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
300 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 74%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
21.2 Crosses 16.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME LASK Linz
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Rapid Wien
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.52 xG 1.51
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
277 Passes 382
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 1
19.10.2025 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 0-2 HT 0-2 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
01.06.2025 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 3-0 HT 1-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
29.05.2025 LASK Linz LASK Linz 3-1 HT 1-1 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
23.02.2025 LASK Linz LASK Linz 2-1 HT 1-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
28.09.2024 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 1-1 HT 1-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
28.04.2024 LASK Linz LASK Linz 5-0 HT 3-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LASK Linz
3-0
AWAY Rapid Wien
2.94 xG 0.39
38% Ball Possession 62%
18 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 11
179 Passes 354
66% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 34
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH LASK Linz vs Rapid Wien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LASK Linz cruised past Rapid Wien 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had LASK Linz as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, LASK Linz had 38% of the ball to Rapid Wien's 62%, shots finished 18-13, expected goals 2.94 to 0.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, LASK Linz had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for LASK Linz and 1.00 for Rapid Wien.

What was the final score of LASK Linz vs Rapid Wien?

LASK Linz 3-0 Rapid Wien in the Austria - Bundesliga on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LASK Linz vs Rapid Wien?

Before kick-off our model rated a LASK Linz win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split LASK Linz 42%, draw 22%, Rapid Wien 36%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (LASK Linz), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (LASK Linz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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