Hartberg vs Sturm Graz Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hartberg v Sturm Graz — Team-Based Signals
Hartberg vs Sturm Graz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Hartberg 0-1 Sturm Graz — Actual Match Statistics
Sturm Graz edged past Hartberg 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sturm Graz as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Hartberg had 42% of the ball to Sturm Graz's 58%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 0.81 to 1.31.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sturm Graz led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Hartberg and 1.67 for Sturm Graz.
What was the final score of Hartberg vs Sturm Graz?
Hartberg 0-1 Sturm Graz in the Austria - Bundesliga on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hartberg vs Sturm Graz?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sturm Graz win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Hartberg 26%, draw 22%, Sturm Graz 52%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sturm Graz) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.