Sturm Graz vs Hartberg Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sturm Graz v Hartberg — Team-Based Signals
Sturm Graz vs Hartberg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-1
Hartberg
AVU
Sturm Graz 1-0 Hartberg — Actual Match Statistics
Sturm Graz squeezed past Hartberg 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Sturm Graz as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sturm Graz had 65% of the ball to Hartberg's 35%, shots finished 15-13.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sturm Graz had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Sturm Graz and 0.83 for Hartberg.
What was the final score of Sturm Graz vs Hartberg?
Sturm Graz 1-0 Hartberg in the Austria - Bundesliga on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sturm Graz vs Hartberg?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sturm Graz win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Sturm Graz 55%, draw 19%, Hartberg 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sturm Graz) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.