Rapid Wien 1-3 Austria Wien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.15
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.78
6+ Goals
9%
16.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 30% vs market 26.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.51
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.05
X/1
16%
4.34
X/2
9%
7.95
X/X
11%
4.77
2/1
7%
24.3
2/2
14%
6.32
2/X
8%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-2.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rapid Wien EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Austria Wien EU Bookmakers 28%
-8% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +2%
1.74/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.46
-6% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
355 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 70%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
21.9 Crosses 16.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rapid Wien
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Austria Wien
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.61 xG 1.31
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
255 Passes 292
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 27
19 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 4
11.05.2025 Austria Wien Austria Wien 1-2 HT 0-1 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
13.04.2025 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 2-0 HT 1-0 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
16.02.2025 Austria Wien Austria Wien 2-1 HT 1-1 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
22.09.2024 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 2-1 HT 1-1 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
25.02.2024 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 3-0 HT 3-0 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
01.10.2023 Austria Wien Austria Wien 0-0 HT 0-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rapid Wien
1-3
AWAY Austria Wien
2.88 xG 2.16
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
337 Passes 218
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
31 Box Touches 14
31 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rapid Wien vs Austria Wien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Austria Wien saw off Rapid Wien 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Rapid Wien at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Rapid Wien had 59% of the ball to Austria Wien's 41%, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 2.88 to 2.16 — on chances, Rapid Wien could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rapid Wien had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Rapid Wien and 0.67 for Austria Wien.

What was the final score of Rapid Wien vs Austria Wien?

Rapid Wien 1-3 Austria Wien in the Austria - Bundesliga on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rapid Wien vs Austria Wien?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rapid Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Rapid Wien 47%, draw 26%, Austria Wien 26%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rapid Wien) ✗ Under 2.5
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