Hartberg vs Austria Wien Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hartberg v Austria Wien — Team-Based Signals
Hartberg vs Austria Wien Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Hartberg 0-1 Austria Wien — Actual Match Statistics
Austria Wien nicked a narrow win over Hartberg 1-0 away from home.
As we said in the preview, our model had Austria Wien as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Hartberg had 40% of the ball to Austria Wien's 60%, shots finished 2-12, expected goals 0.05 to 1.49 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Austria Wien's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hartberg had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Hartberg and 0.83 for Austria Wien.
What was the final score of Hartberg vs Austria Wien?
Hartberg 0-1 Austria Wien in the Austria - Bundesliga on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hartberg vs Austria Wien?
Before kick-off our model rated an Austria Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hartberg 32%, draw 25%, Austria Wien 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Austria Wien) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.