Hartberg 2-1 Austria Wien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
47%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.82
Over Pick
52%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.26
2-3
39%
1.81
4-5
22%
3.72
6+
12%
15.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.53
1/2
7%
24.85
1/X
5%
14.05
X/1
10%
7.36
X/2
19%
4.7
X/X
9%
4.66
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
22%
2.77
2/X
7%
13.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 35.0 — our 7% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+4.2pp
21%
Draw
27%
-5.9pp
47%
Away Win
46%
+1.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
51%
-3.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
49%
+3.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.7pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartberg EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Austria Wien EU Bookmakers 49%
+1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +23%
1.16/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.22
-14% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +24%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
250 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 78%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
14.9 Crosses 20.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hartberg
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Austria Wien
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.53 xG 1.52
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
329 Passes 335
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.08.2025 Austria Wien Austria Wien 1-3 HT 0-1 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
02.04.2025 Austria Wien Austria Wien 0-1 HT 0-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVK
24.11.2024 Austria Wien Austria Wien 1-0 HT 0-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
18.08.2024 Hartberg Hartberg 1-1 HT 1-1 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
28.05.2024 Hartberg Hartberg 0-1 HT 0-1 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
24.05.2024 Austria Wien Austria Wien 2-1 HT 0-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartberg
2-1
AWAY Austria Wien
1.13 xG 1.37
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
192 Passes 422
68% Pass Accuracy 82%
8 Box Touches 40
10 Crosses 48
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hartberg vs Austria Wien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hartberg nicked a narrow win over Austria Wien 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Austria Wien at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Hartberg had 35% of the ball to Austria Wien's 65%, shots finished 7-17, expected goals 1.13 to 1.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Austria Wien led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hartberg and 1.00 for Austria Wien.

What was the final score of Hartberg vs Austria Wien?

Hartberg 2-1 Austria Wien in the Austria - Bundesliga on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hartberg vs Austria Wien?

Before kick-off our model rated an Austria Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Hartberg 32%, draw 21%, Austria Wien 47%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Austria Wien) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Austria Wien) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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