Austria Wien vs Hartberg Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Austria Wien v Hartberg — Team-Based Signals
Austria Wien vs Hartberg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Austria Wien 1-3 Hartberg — Actual Match Statistics
Hartberg got the better of Austria Wien 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
This one beat our numbers. Austria Wien carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Austria Wien had 73% of the ball to Hartberg's 27%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 1.18 to 1.61.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Austria Wien had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Austria Wien and 0.67 for Hartberg.
What was the final score of Austria Wien vs Hartberg?
Austria Wien 1-3 Hartberg in the Austria - Bundesliga on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Austria Wien vs Hartberg?
Before kick-off our model rated a Austria Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Austria Wien 58%, draw 21%, Hartberg 22%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Austria Wien) went the other way.