BG Pathum United vs Ratchaburi Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
BG Pathum United v Ratchaburi — Team-Based Signals
BG Pathum United vs Ratchaburi Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-0
Ratchaburi
TAY
3-0
HT 1-0
BG Pathum United
TAY
BG Pathum United 2-2 Ratchaburi — Actual Match Statistics
BG Pathum United and Ratchaburi shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.
Our pre-match lean was BG Pathum United at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, BG Pathum United had 55% of the ball to Ratchaburi's 45%, shots finished 26-14, expected goals 2.24 to 1.03.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ratchaburi led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for BG Pathum United and 1.67 for Ratchaburi.
What was the final score of BG Pathum United vs Ratchaburi?
BG Pathum United 2-2 Ratchaburi in the Thailand - 1st Division on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for BG Pathum United vs Ratchaburi?
Before kick-off our model rated a BG Pathum United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split BG Pathum United 43%, draw 28%, Ratchaburi 29%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.