Buriram United vs Muang Thong United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Buriram United v Muang Thong United — Team-Based Signals
Buriram United vs Muang Thong United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
Buriram United
TAY
4-4
HT 3-1
Buriram United
TAY
Buriram United 2-1 Muang Thong United — Actual Match Statistics
Buriram United edged past Muang Thong United 2-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Buriram United as the likeliest winner at 79%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Buriram United had 70% of the ball to Muang Thong United's 30%, shots finished 10-5, expected goals 1.32 to 1.24.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Buriram United had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Buriram United and 1.33 for Muang Thong United.
What was the final score of Buriram United vs Muang Thong United?
Buriram United 2-1 Muang Thong United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Buriram United vs Muang Thong United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Buriram United win the most likely single outcome at about 79%, with the full match-result split Buriram United 79%, draw 11%, Muang Thong United 11%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Buriram United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.