Muang Thong United vs Buriram United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Muang Thong United v Buriram United — Team-Based Signals
Muang Thong United vs Buriram United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
Buriram United
TAY
4-4
HT 3-1
Buriram United
TAY
1-1
HT 0-1
Muang Thong United
TAY
Muang Thong United 0-5 Buriram United — Actual Match Statistics
Buriram United swept aside Muang Thong United 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Buriram United as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (66%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.
On the day, Muang Thong United had 48% of the ball to Buriram United's 52%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 0.88 to 1.22.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Buriram United led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Muang Thong United and 2.33 for Buriram United.
What was the final score of Muang Thong United vs Buriram United?
Muang Thong United 0-5 Buriram United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Muang Thong United vs Buriram United?
Before kick-off our model rated an Buriram United win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Muang Thong United 16%, draw 15%, Buriram United 69%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Buriram United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.