Thai Port FC 1-1 Chiangrai United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.49
Draw
18%
4.08
Away
14%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
14%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
63%
+5.4pp
18%
Draw
21%
-3.1pp
14%
Away Win
16%
-2.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.6pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thai Port FC EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Chiangrai United EU Bookmakers 20%
-7% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -8%
1.98/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.27
+31% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +20%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
409 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 76%
30.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
24.1 Crosses 15.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thai Port FC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Chiangrai United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.57 xG 0.93
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
347 Passes 247
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.01.2025 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 1-0 HT 1-0 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC TAY
19.08.2024 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC 5-1 HT 2-0 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
19.04.2024 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
04.04.2023 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United 2-3 HT 2-0 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC TAY
30.10.2022 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
09.03.2022 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Chiangrai United Chiangrai United TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Thai Port FC
1-1
AWAY Chiangrai United
2.68 xG 1.40
59% Ball Possession 41%
22 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
275 Passes 177
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
29 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Thai Port FC vs Chiangrai United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thai Port FC and Chiangrai United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Thai Port FC carried 68% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Thai Port FC had 59% of the ball to Chiangrai United's 41%, shots finished 22-11, expected goals 2.68 to 1.40.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Thai Port FC and 1.17 for Chiangrai United.

What was the final score of Thai Port FC vs Chiangrai United?

Thai Port FC 1-1 Chiangrai United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thai Port FC vs Chiangrai United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thai Port FC win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Thai Port FC 68%, draw 18%, Chiangrai United 14%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Thai Port FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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