Ratchaburi 0-0 BG Pathum United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.09
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.97
Over 2.5
55%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.66
No
38%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
44%
+5.1pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.0pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-2.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
47%
-1.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
53%
+1.5pp
62%
BTTS Yes
56%
+6.1pp
38%
BTTS No
44%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ratchaburi EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY BG Pathum United EU Bookmakers 33%
+1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
1.04/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.15
-12% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +33%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
340 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 79%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
22.5 Crosses 11.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ratchaburi
3W-1D-2L
AWAY BG Pathum United
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.44 xG 0.74
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
314 Passes 391
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
23 Box Touches 17
11 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.01.2025 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United 1-2 HT 0-0 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
25.08.2024 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 4-1 HT 3-0 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United TAY
04.05.2024 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 0-1 HT 0-1 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United TAY
09.12.2023 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United 2-1 HT 2-0 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi TAY
20.11.2022 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 3-0 HT 1-0 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United TAY
08.01.2022 Ratchaburi Ratchaburi 1-1 HT 0-1 BG Pathum United BG Pathum United TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ratchaburi
0-0
AWAY BG Pathum United
0.36 xG 0.64
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 7
360 Passes 327
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ratchaburi vs BG Pathum United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ratchaburi and BG Pathum United played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Ratchaburi at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ratchaburi had 51% of the ball to BG Pathum United's 49%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.36 to 0.64.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ratchaburi had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Ratchaburi and 1.00 for BG Pathum United.

What was the final score of Ratchaburi vs BG Pathum United?

Ratchaburi 0-0 BG Pathum United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ratchaburi vs BG Pathum United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ratchaburi win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Ratchaburi 49%, draw 23%, BG Pathum United 27%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ratchaburi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TAY More Thailand - 1st Division
22 Nov 2025
14:00 Thai Port FC vs Chiangrai United Analysis →
14:30 Bangkok United vs Prachuap Analysis →
15:00 Muang Thong United vs Buriram United Analysis →