Asteras Tripolis vs Panathinaikos Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Asteras Tripolis v Panathinaikos — Team-Based Signals
Asteras Tripolis vs Panathinaikos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-4
HT 1-2
Panathinaikos
YUN
1-0
HT 0-0
Panathinaikos
YUN
Asteras Tripolis 1-2 Panathinaikos — Actual Match Statistics
Panathinaikos squeezed past Asteras Tripolis 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
As we said in the preview, our model had Panathinaikos as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Asteras Tripolis had 36% of the ball to Panathinaikos's 64%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.46 to 2.52 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Panathinaikos's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Panathinaikos led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Asteras Tripolis and 1.50 for Panathinaikos.
What was the final score of Asteras Tripolis vs Panathinaikos?
Asteras Tripolis 1-2 Panathinaikos in the Greece - Super League on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Asteras Tripolis vs Panathinaikos?
Before kick-off our model rated an Panathinaikos win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Asteras Tripolis 19%, draw 26%, Panathinaikos 55%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Panathinaikos) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.