Volos NFC 2-1 PAOK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 22 Mar 2026

📅22/03/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
11%
7.78
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
69%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.86
Over 2.5
56%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.33
No
48%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.04
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
27%
3.45
6+ Goals
11%
13.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
17.25
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
26.5
1/X
5%
26.0
X/1
4%
17.8
X/2
17%
3.5
X/X
11%
6.13
2/1
3%
34.0
2/2
43%
1.56
2/X
4%
22.25
Value flag · 1/2 at 26.5 — our 9% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
11%
Home Win
10%
+0.9pp
20%
Draw
19%
+0.9pp
69%
Away Win
71%
-1.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
50%
-6.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
50%
+6.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
39%
+12.7pp
48%
BTTS No
61%
-12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Volos NFC EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY PAOK EU Bookmakers 75%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -8%
0.65/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/0.81
+6% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -17%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
209 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 82%
11.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.7
11.8 Crosses 18.7
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Volos NFC
1W-0D-5L
AWAY PAOK
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.85 xG 1.50
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
218 Passes 399
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
10 Box Touches 36
11 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2025 PAOK PAOK 3-0 HT 0-0 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN
12.01.2025 PAOK PAOK 1-2 HT 0-0 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN
21.09.2024 Volos NFC Volos NFC 1-4 HT 0-1 PAOK PAOK YUN
21.01.2024 Volos NFC Volos NFC 1-5 HT 0-2 PAOK PAOK YUN
10.01.2024 Volos NFC Volos NFC 0-2 HT 0-1 PAOK PAOK YUK
07.12.2023 PAOK PAOK 1-0 HT 1-0 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Volos NFC
2-1
AWAY PAOK
2.61 xG 0.79
26% Ball Possession 74%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
125 Passes 478
64% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 41
10 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Volos NFC vs PAOK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Volos NFC squeezed past PAOK 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had PAOK at 69% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Volos NFC had 26% of the ball to PAOK's 74%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 2.61 to 0.79 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Volos NFC's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PAOK led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Volos NFC and 2.67 for PAOK.

What was the final score of Volos NFC vs PAOK?

Volos NFC 2-1 PAOK in the Greece - Super League on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Volos NFC vs PAOK?

Before kick-off our model rated an PAOK win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Volos NFC 11%, draw 20%, PAOK 69%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (PAOK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PAOK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
YUN More Greece - Super League
22 Mar 2026
20:00 Aris Saloniki vs OFI Analysis →
20:00 Olympiakos vs AE Larissa Analysis →
20:00 Asteras Tripolis vs Panathinaikos Analysis →
20:00 AEK Atina vs Kifisia Analysis →
20:00 Levadiakos vs Atromitos Analysis →
20:00 Panaitolikos vs Panserraikos Analysis →