CSKA Sofia vs Cherno More Varna Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CSKA Sofia v Cherno More Varna — Team-Based Signals
CSKA Sofia vs Cherno More Varna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Cherno More Varna
BUL1
CSKA Sofia 2-1 Cherno More Varna — Actual Match Statistics
CSKA Sofia squeezed past Cherno More Varna 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CSKA Sofia as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, CSKA Sofia had 55% of the ball to Cherno More Varna's 45%, shots finished 10-5.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cherno More Varna led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for CSKA Sofia and 0.67 for Cherno More Varna.
What was the final score of CSKA Sofia vs Cherno More Varna?
CSKA Sofia 2-1 Cherno More Varna in the Bulgaria - Cup on 22/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CSKA Sofia vs Cherno More Varna?
Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split CSKA Sofia 50%, draw 29%, Cherno More Varna 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Sofia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.