Sturm Graz 1-1 LASK Linz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 22 Apr 2026

Sturm Graz
1 - 1 HT 0 - 0
LASK Linz
📅22/04/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Austria - Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Sturm Graz vs LASK Linz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
48%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.07
Over
55%
1.72
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
1.57
No
42%
2.24
Total Goals
0-1
22%
3.86
2-3
47%
1.8
4-5
25%
2.99
6+
6%
9.53
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.98
1/2 ✗
4%
22.65
1/X
5%
13.0
X/1
10%
7.28
X/2
16%
4.98
X/X
15%
5.08
2/1
2%
31.0
2/2
28%
2.75
2/X
5%
12.3
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.65 — our 4% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Sturm Graz v LASK Linz — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Sturm Graz The Market 32%
Head to Head
AWAY LASK Linz The Market 49%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.39 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.80
1.46 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.87
Great Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Strong
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
266 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 78%
20 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2

Sturm Graz vs LASK Linz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sturm Graz
3W-2D-1L
AWAY LASK Linz
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.00 xG 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
316 Passes 304
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.04.2026 LASK Linz LASK Linz 1-1 HT 0-1 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
23.11.2025 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 1-3 HT 1-2 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
01.08.2025 LASK Linz LASK Linz 0-2 HT 0-2 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
16.03.2025 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 4-2 HT 1-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
27.10.2024 LASK Linz LASK Linz 1-2 HT 0-1 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
12.05.2024 LASK Linz LASK Linz 2-2 HT 1-1 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU

Sturm Graz 1-1 LASK Linz — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sturm Graz
1 - 1
AWAY LASK Linz
1.81 xG 0.84
72% Ball Possession 28%
21 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
400 Passes 119
86% Pass Accuracy 65%
39 Box Touches 14
37 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Sturm Graz vs LASK Linz
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Sturm Graz and LASK Linz couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

A gentle 48% lean on LASK Linz didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The goals card split: both teams to score (58%) came in, over 2.5 goals (55%) didn't.

By the numbers, Sturm Graz had 72% of the ball to LASK Linz's 28%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 1.81 to 0.84.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sturm Graz had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sturm Graz and 1.50 for LASK Linz.

Sturm Graz vs LASK Linz Result & Final Score

Sturm Graz 1 - 1 LASK Linz in the Austria - Bundesliga on 22/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Sturm Graz vs LASK Linz Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an LASK Linz win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sturm Graz 27%, draw 25%, LASK Linz 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (LASK Linz), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (LASK Linz) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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