Sturm Graz vs LASK Linz Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sturm Graz v LASK Linz — Team-Based Signals
Sturm Graz vs LASK Linz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-0
Sturm Graz
AVU
Sturm Graz 1-3 LASK Linz — Actual Match Statistics
LASK Linz beat Sturm Graz 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.
Our pre-match lean was Sturm Graz at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Sturm Graz had 72% of the ball to LASK Linz's 28%, shots finished 22-12, expected goals 2.05 to 1.78.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sturm Graz had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sturm Graz and 1.33 for LASK Linz.
What was the final score of Sturm Graz vs LASK Linz?
Sturm Graz 1-3 LASK Linz in the Austria - Bundesliga on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sturm Graz vs LASK Linz?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sturm Graz win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Sturm Graz 51%, draw 24%, LASK Linz 25%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sturm Graz) went the other way.