Rapid Wien 1-2 Grazer AK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
57%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
19%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.78
Over
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2.96
2-3
36%
1.76
4-5
24%
3.81
6+
10%
16.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.23
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.9
X/1
22%
4.16
X/2
6%
9.77
X/X
11%
4.81
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
8%
8.22
2/X
7%
16.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Rapid Wien win — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
54%
+2.4pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.4pp
19%
Away Win
20%
-0.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.7pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rapid Wien EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Grazer AK EU Bookmakers 23%
-13% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.69/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.48
-18% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
392 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
23.1 Crosses 12.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rapid Wien
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Grazer AK
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.16 xG 0.89
71% Ball Possession 29%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
515 Passes 161
87% Pass Accuracy 68%
33 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
21.09.2025 Grazer AK Grazer AK 1-1 HT 0-1 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
16.03.2025 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 3-0 HT 3-0 Grazer AK Grazer AK AVU
27.10.2024 Grazer AK Grazer AK 1-1 HT 0-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
08.11.2006 Grazer AK Grazer AK 1-1 HT 0-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
20.08.2006 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 1-4 HT 0-1 Grazer AK Grazer AK AVU
29.04.2006 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 2-0 HT 0-0 Grazer AK Grazer AK AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rapid Wien
1-2
AWAY Grazer AK
1.35 xG 1.13
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
277 Passes 204
74% Pass Accuracy 67%
20 Box Touches 8
22 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rapid Wien vs Grazer AK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grazer AK squeezed past Rapid Wien 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Rapid Wien carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Rapid Wien had 56% of the ball to Grazer AK's 44%, shots finished 10-6, expected goals 1.35 to 1.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rapid Wien had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Rapid Wien and 1.17 for Grazer AK.

What was the final score of Rapid Wien vs Grazer AK?

Rapid Wien 1-2 Grazer AK in the Austria - Bundesliga on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rapid Wien vs Grazer AK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rapid Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Rapid Wien 57%, draw 24%, Grazer AK 19%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rapid Wien) ✗ BTTS No
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